The @khamenei_ir account, now limited to archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, has posted only sporadically in recent weeks amid stabilization under successor Mojtaba Khamenei. No activity since May 5, after minimal shares in early May and just seven across April, reinforces trader focus on sub-10 totals for the May 15–22 window. Historical bursts exceeding 20 weekly posts during March’s regional tensions keep mid-range bins competitive, yet the absence of confirmed anniversaries, diplomatic summits, or escalations in Iran-Israel exchanges through mid-May sustains the tight split. Any sudden foreign-policy repost surge could widen the gap, while continued quiet would lock in lower outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
55-59 42.5%
45-49 41.6%
50-54 41.5%
60+ 32.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
<5
49%
5-9
49%
10-14
35%
15-19
42%
20-24
42%
25-29
42%
30-34
42%
35-39
44%
40-44
2%
45-49
42%
50-54
42%
55-59
43%
60+
33%
55-59 42.5%
45-49 41.6%
50-54 41.5%
60+ 32.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
<5
$214 ปริมาณ
49%
5-9
$62 ปริมาณ
49%
10-14
$71 ปริมาณ
35%
15-19
$44 ปริมาณ
42%
20-24
$40 ปริมาณ
42%
25-29
$40 ปริมาณ
42%
30-34
$75 ปริมาณ
42%
35-39
$61 ปริมาณ
44%
40-44
$140 ปริมาณ
2%
45-49
$60 ปริมาณ
42%
50-54
$69 ปริมาณ
42%
55-59
$55 ปริมาณ
43%
60+
$123 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now limited to archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, has posted only sporadically in recent weeks amid stabilization under successor Mojtaba Khamenei. No activity since May 5, after minimal shares in early May and just seven across April, reinforces trader focus on sub-10 totals for the May 15–22 window. Historical bursts exceeding 20 weekly posts during March’s regional tensions keep mid-range bins competitive, yet the absence of confirmed anniversaries, diplomatic summits, or escalations in Iran-Israel exchanges through mid-May sustains the tight split. Any sudden foreign-policy repost surge could widen the gap, while continued quiet would lock in lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,055วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now limited to archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, has posted only sporadically in recent weeks amid stabilization under successor Mojtaba Khamenei. No activity since May 5, after minimal shares in early May and just seven across April, reinforces trader focus on sub-10 totals for the May 15–22 window. Historical bursts exceeding 20 weekly posts during March’s regional tensions keep mid-range bins competitive, yet the absence of confirmed anniversaries, diplomatic summits, or escalations in Iran-Israel exchanges through mid-May sustains the tight split. Any sudden foreign-policy repost surge could widen the gap, while continued quiet would lock in lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,055วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, now limited to archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following the February 2026 leadership transition, has posted only sporadically in recent weeks amid stabilization under successor Mojtaba Khamenei. No activity since May 5, after minimal shares in early May and just seven across April, reinforces trader focus on sub-10 totals for the May 15–22 window. Historical bursts exceeding 20 weekly posts during March’s regional tensions keep mid-range bins competitive, yet the absence of confirmed anniversaries, diplomatic summits, or escalations in Iran-Israel exchanges through mid-May sustains the tight split. Any sudden foreign-policy repost surge could widen the gap, while continued quiet would lock in lower outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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