The @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity underpins the strong trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for May 12–19. Following the February 2026 assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the account has issued statements in irregular bursts rather than on a daily schedule, typically tied to specific diplomatic or domestic developments. Mid-May conditions show no acute regional crises or scheduled announcements requiring new content, consistent with quieter intervals observed in prior weeks. This historical baseline, combined with the absence of fresh catalysts through May 16, has concentrated implied probability on the lowest outcome brackets while leaving room for limited additional posts if routine statements appear before May 19.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 74%
5-9 10%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 2.1%
$10,334 ปริมาณ
$10,334 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<5
82%
5-9
10%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 74%
5-9 10%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 2.1%
$10,334 ปริมาณ
$10,334 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<5
$1,912 ปริมาณ
82%
5-9
$1,760 ปริมาณ
10%
10-14
$587 ปริมาณ
2%
15-19
$1,123 ปริมาณ
2%
20-24
$806 ปริมาณ
1%
25-29
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
30-34
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
35-39
$443 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-44
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
45-49
$484 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-54
$489 ปริมาณ
<1%
55-59
$609 ปริมาณ
<1%
60+
$666 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity underpins the strong trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for May 12–19. Following the February 2026 assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the account has issued statements in irregular bursts rather than on a daily schedule, typically tied to specific diplomatic or domestic developments. Mid-May conditions show no acute regional crises or scheduled announcements requiring new content, consistent with quieter intervals observed in prior weeks. This historical baseline, combined with the absence of fresh catalysts through May 16, has concentrated implied probability on the lowest outcome brackets while leaving room for limited additional posts if routine statements appear before May 19.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,334วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity underpins the strong trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for May 12–19. Following the February 2026 assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the account has issued statements in irregular bursts rather than on a daily schedule, typically tied to specific diplomatic or domestic developments. Mid-May conditions show no acute regional crises or scheduled announcements requiring new content, consistent with quieter intervals observed in prior weeks. This historical baseline, combined with the absence of fresh catalysts through May 16, has concentrated implied probability on the lowest outcome brackets while leaving room for limited additional posts if routine statements appear before May 19.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,334วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity underpins the strong trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts for May 12–19. Following the February 2026 assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the account has issued statements in irregular bursts rather than on a daily schedule, typically tied to specific diplomatic or domestic developments. Mid-May conditions show no acute regional crises or scheduled announcements requiring new content, consistent with quieter intervals observed in prior weeks. This historical baseline, combined with the absence of fresh catalysts through May 16, has concentrated implied probability on the lowest outcome brackets while leaving room for limited additional posts if routine statements appear before May 19.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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