Canada’s government has shown no signs of pursuing formal expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra despite public petitions and ongoing trade frictions with the Trump administration. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s administration continues bilateral negotiations, maintains military cooperation, and describes the United States as a key partner, reflecting institutional reluctance to escalate to persona non grata status under the Vienna Convention. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions occur only amid acute crises that rupture relations, a threshold current disputes have not crossed. Trader consensus at 96.7% “No” aligns with the absence of any government signals or procedural steps toward removal by year-end. Late developments such as a sudden tariff breakdown or parliamentary pressure could theoretically shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
3% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada’s government has shown no signs of pursuing formal expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra despite public petitions and ongoing trade frictions with the Trump administration. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s administration continues bilateral negotiations, maintains military cooperation, and describes the United States as a key partner, reflecting institutional reluctance to escalate to persona non grata status under the Vienna Convention. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions occur only amid acute crises that rupture relations, a threshold current disputes have not crossed. Trader consensus at 96.7% “No” aligns with the absence of any government signals or procedural steps toward removal by year-end. Late developments such as a sudden tariff breakdown or parliamentary pressure could theoretically shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada’s government has shown no signs of pursuing formal expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra despite public petitions and ongoing trade frictions with the Trump administration. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s administration continues bilateral negotiations, maintains military cooperation, and describes the United States as a key partner, reflecting institutional reluctance to escalate to persona non grata status under the Vienna Convention. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions occur only amid acute crises that rupture relations, a threshold current disputes have not crossed. Trader consensus at 96.7% “No” aligns with the absence of any government signals or procedural steps toward removal by year-end. Late developments such as a sudden tariff breakdown or parliamentary pressure could theoretically shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Canada’s government has shown no signs of pursuing formal expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra despite public petitions and ongoing trade frictions with the Trump administration. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s administration continues bilateral negotiations, maintains military cooperation, and describes the United States as a key partner, reflecting institutional reluctance to escalate to persona non grata status under the Vienna Convention. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions occur only amid acute crises that rupture relations, a threshold current disputes have not crossed. Trader consensus at 96.7% “No” aligns with the absence of any government signals or procedural steps toward removal by year-end. Late developments such as a sudden tariff breakdown or parliamentary pressure could theoretically shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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