China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0%, announced at the March Two Sessions, drives trader consensus toward 75.5% odds on 4.0-5.0%, aligning with IMF (4.4%), Goldman Sachs (4.8%), and UBS (4.5%) forecasts. Q1 GDP expanded 5.0% year-on-year in mid-April, beating 4.8% expectations via strong exports, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment, despite softening retail sales. Ongoing property sector slump—primary sales forecast to drop 10-14%—caps upside potential, reflected in 19.1% for 5.0-6.0%, while Iran conflict risks and trade frictions weigh on higher bands. Q2 data and fiscal stimulus scope loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0% 76%
5.0–6.0% 19.9%
6.0-7.0% 2.2%
3.0–4.0% 2.1%
$515,552 ปริมาณ
$515,552 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
76%
5.0–6.0%
20%
6.0-7.0%
2%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 76%
5.0–6.0% 19.9%
6.0-7.0% 2.2%
3.0–4.0% 2.1%
$515,552 ปริมาณ
$515,552 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
<1.0%
$41,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$40,127 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$20,784 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$42,806 ปริมาณ
2%
4.0–5.0%
$130,133 ปริมาณ
76%
5.0–6.0%
$47,904 ปริมาณ
20%
6.0-7.0%
$45,827 ปริมาณ
2%
7.0–8.0%
$43,992 ปริมาณ
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$19,714 ปริมาณ
<1%
9.0%+
$83,075 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0%, announced at the March Two Sessions, drives trader consensus toward 75.5% odds on 4.0-5.0%, aligning with IMF (4.4%), Goldman Sachs (4.8%), and UBS (4.5%) forecasts. Q1 GDP expanded 5.0% year-on-year in mid-April, beating 4.8% expectations via strong exports, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment, despite softening retail sales. Ongoing property sector slump—primary sales forecast to drop 10-14%—caps upside potential, reflected in 19.1% for 5.0-6.0%, while Iran conflict risks and trade frictions weigh on higher bands. Q2 data and fiscal stimulus scope loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$515,552วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0%, announced at the March Two Sessions, drives trader consensus toward 75.5% odds on 4.0-5.0%, aligning with IMF (4.4%), Goldman Sachs (4.8%), and UBS (4.5%) forecasts. Q1 GDP expanded 5.0% year-on-year in mid-April, beating 4.8% expectations via strong exports, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment, despite softening retail sales. Ongoing property sector slump—primary sales forecast to drop 10-14%—caps upside potential, reflected in 19.1% for 5.0-6.0%, while Iran conflict risks and trade frictions weigh on higher bands. Q2 data and fiscal stimulus scope loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$515,552วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0%, announced at the March Two Sessions, drives trader consensus toward 75.5% odds on 4.0-5.0%, aligning with IMF (4.4%), Goldman Sachs (4.8%), and UBS (4.5%) forecasts. Q1 GDP expanded 5.0% year-on-year in mid-April, beating 4.8% expectations via strong exports, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment, despite softening retail sales. Ongoing property sector slump—primary sales forecast to drop 10-14%—caps upside potential, reflected in 19.1% for 5.0-6.0%, while Iran conflict risks and trade frictions weigh on higher bands. Q2 data and fiscal stimulus scope loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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