Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes' commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026. Himes, seeking an 11th term after winning 61% in 2024 and similar margins previously, faces a low-threat Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo on August 11. Republicans have three declared primary contenders—Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein (2024 nominee), and Daniel Miressi—but lack a standout figure to overcome the district's suburban Fairfield County lean toward Democrats, as seen in 2024 presidential results (Harris 61%). With the June 9 filing deadline looming, odds could shift via a late high-profile GOP recruit, Himes scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though safe-district incumbents historically prevail absent major disruption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$31,182 ปริมาณ
$31,182 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$31,182 ปริมาณ
$31,182 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,407 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$17,775 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes' commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026. Himes, seeking an 11th term after winning 61% in 2024 and similar margins previously, faces a low-threat Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo on August 11. Republicans have three declared primary contenders—Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein (2024 nominee), and Daniel Miressi—but lack a standout figure to overcome the district's suburban Fairfield County lean toward Democrats, as seen in 2024 presidential results (Harris 61%). With the June 9 filing deadline looming, odds could shift via a late high-profile GOP recruit, Himes scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though safe-district incumbents historically prevail absent major disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes' commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026. Himes, seeking an 11th term after winning 61% in 2024 and similar margins previously, faces a low-threat Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo on August 11. Republicans have three declared primary contenders—Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein (2024 nominee), and Daniel Miressi—but lack a standout figure to overcome the district's suburban Fairfield County lean toward Democrats, as seen in 2024 presidential results (Harris 61%). With the June 9 filing deadline looming, odds could shift via a late high-profile GOP recruit, Himes scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though safe-district incumbents historically prevail absent major disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes' commanding position in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026. Himes, seeking an 11th term after winning 61% in 2024 and similar margins previously, faces a low-threat Democratic primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo on August 11. Republicans have three declared primary contenders—Luz Bueno, Michael Goldstein (2024 nominee), and Daniel Miressi—but lack a standout figure to overcome the district's suburban Fairfield County lean toward Democrats, as seen in 2024 presidential results (Harris 61%). With the June 9 filing deadline looming, odds could shift via a late high-profile GOP recruit, Himes scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though safe-district incumbents historically prevail absent major disruption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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