Market-implied odds for Federal Reserve policy actions from July through October position “Other” as the leading outcome at 51.5%, ahead of several rate-path sequences clustered near 35–36%. This dispersion reflects trader uncertainty over the exact timing and number of cuts amid mixed inflation and labor-market signals. Recent CPI prints and employment data have kept expectations for a steady easing path in check, while Treasury yields and fed-funds futures continue to embed a cautious monetary-policy stance. Key upcoming FOMC meetings and inflation releases through the summer remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate probabilities around one of the listed sequences or shift further weight toward “Other.”
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other 47%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut 6%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.4%
$38,768 ปริมาณ
$38,768 ปริมาณ
Oct 28, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
6%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
47%
Other 47%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut 6%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.4%
$38,768 ปริมาณ
$38,768 ปริมาณ
Oct 28, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$388 ปริมาณ
1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$425 ปริมาณ
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$408 ปริมาณ
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$318 ปริมาณ
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,334 ปริมาณ
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$947 ปริมาณ
6%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$576 ปริมาณ
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$473 ปริมาณ
1%
Other
$30,900 ปริมาณ
47%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for Federal Reserve policy actions from July through October position “Other” as the leading outcome at 51.5%, ahead of several rate-path sequences clustered near 35–36%. This dispersion reflects trader uncertainty over the exact timing and number of cuts amid mixed inflation and labor-market signals. Recent CPI prints and employment data have kept expectations for a steady easing path in check, while Treasury yields and fed-funds futures continue to embed a cautious monetary-policy stance. Key upcoming FOMC meetings and inflation releases through the summer remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate probabilities around one of the listed sequences or shift further weight toward “Other.”
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,768วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds for Federal Reserve policy actions from July through October position “Other” as the leading outcome at 51.5%, ahead of several rate-path sequences clustered near 35–36%. This dispersion reflects trader uncertainty over the exact timing and number of cuts amid mixed inflation and labor-market signals. Recent CPI prints and employment data have kept expectations for a steady easing path in check, while Treasury yields and fed-funds futures continue to embed a cautious monetary-policy stance. Key upcoming FOMC meetings and inflation releases through the summer remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate probabilities around one of the listed sequences or shift further weight toward “Other.”
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,768วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for Federal Reserve policy actions from July through October position “Other” as the leading outcome at 51.5%, ahead of several rate-path sequences clustered near 35–36%. This dispersion reflects trader uncertainty over the exact timing and number of cuts amid mixed inflation and labor-market signals. Recent CPI prints and employment data have kept expectations for a steady easing path in check, while Treasury yields and fed-funds futures continue to embed a cautious monetary-policy stance. Key upcoming FOMC meetings and inflation releases through the summer remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate probabilities around one of the listed sequences or shift further weight toward “Other.”
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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