Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current data-dependent stance amid steady inflation progress toward the 2% target and resilient labor market conditions. Recent FOMC communications and economic releases have reinforced expectations for measured policy adjustments at scheduled meetings rather than unscheduled actions, with the Fed funds rate path priced consistently with gradual easing if needed. Historical precedent shows emergency cuts occur mainly during acute crises, such as sharp recessions or financial market dislocations, which remain absent. Key upcoming catalysts include September 2026 employment and CPI data plus the December FOMC, where any shift in growth or inflation trajectories could influence odds, though sustained stability would further entrench the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$143,403 ปริมาณ
$143,403 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
7% โอกาส
$143,403 ปริมาณ
$143,403 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current data-dependent stance amid steady inflation progress toward the 2% target and resilient labor market conditions. Recent FOMC communications and economic releases have reinforced expectations for measured policy adjustments at scheduled meetings rather than unscheduled actions, with the Fed funds rate path priced consistently with gradual easing if needed. Historical precedent shows emergency cuts occur mainly during acute crises, such as sharp recessions or financial market dislocations, which remain absent. Key upcoming catalysts include September 2026 employment and CPI data plus the December FOMC, where any shift in growth or inflation trajectories could influence odds, though sustained stability would further entrench the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$143,403วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current data-dependent stance amid steady inflation progress toward the 2% target and resilient labor market conditions. Recent FOMC communications and economic releases have reinforced expectations for measured policy adjustments at scheduled meetings rather than unscheduled actions, with the Fed funds rate path priced consistently with gradual easing if needed. Historical precedent shows emergency cuts occur mainly during acute crises, such as sharp recessions or financial market dislocations, which remain absent. Key upcoming catalysts include September 2026 employment and CPI data plus the December FOMC, where any shift in growth or inflation trajectories could influence odds, though sustained stability would further entrench the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$143,403วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 93.5% implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current data-dependent stance amid steady inflation progress toward the 2% target and resilient labor market conditions. Recent FOMC communications and economic releases have reinforced expectations for measured policy adjustments at scheduled meetings rather than unscheduled actions, with the Fed funds rate path priced consistently with gradual easing if needed. Historical precedent shows emergency cuts occur mainly during acute crises, such as sharp recessions or financial market dislocations, which remain absent. Key upcoming catalysts include September 2026 employment and CPI data plus the December FOMC, where any shift in growth or inflation trajectories could influence odds, though sustained stability would further entrench the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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