The November 2025 presidential vote in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round lead for independent candidate Fernando Dias da Costa, who secured backing from the excluded PAIGC and claimed victory on partial tallies around 49 percent before official results could be released. A military coup days later suspended the electoral process and removed incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, creating ongoing uncertainty over certification and transition timelines. Fragmented support among the remaining listed candidates reflects their marginal national profiles and the pre-coup contest's effective binary structure. Traders continue to price Dias highest due to the leaked vote minutes and his status as the primary opposition figure amid the junta's control.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 70.3%
Siga Batista 8.3%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.7%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 4.0%
$312,048 ปริมาณ
$312,048 ปริมาณ
Fernando Dias da Costa
50%
Siga Batista
8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
4%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
1%
João de Deus Mendes
1%
Baciro Djá
<1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 70.3%
Siga Batista 8.3%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.7%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 4.0%
$312,048 ปริมาณ
$312,048 ปริมาณ
Fernando Dias da Costa
50%
Siga Batista
8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
4%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
1%
João de Deus Mendes
1%
Baciro Djá
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The November 2025 presidential vote in Guinea-Bissau produced a narrow first-round lead for independent candidate Fernando Dias da Costa, who secured backing from the excluded PAIGC and claimed victory on partial tallies around 49 percent before official results could be released. A military coup days later suspended the electoral process and removed incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló, creating ongoing uncertainty over certification and transition timelines. Fragmented support among the remaining listed candidates reflects their marginal national profiles and the pre-coup contest's effective binary structure. Traders continue to price Dias highest due to the leaked vote minutes and his status as the primary opposition figure amid the junta's control.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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