**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 9 maximum temperature centers on the typical 16–17 °C range for mid-winter, with 16 °C holding the highest implied probability at 35.5 % and 17 °C close behind at 26.5 %.** July marks the coolest month in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the average daily high is approximately 16–17 °C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent westerly winds. A cold front forecast to move south of the country around July 8–9 is introducing cooler maritime air and possible cloud cover or light showers, which would limit daytime heating and favor the lower end of the normal range. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs show highs most often settling between 15–18 °C, with 15 °C carrying an 11 % share. Clearer intervals behind the front could allow brief warming toward 17–18 °C, but strong onshore flow and residual moisture keep higher outcomes (19 °C or above) at low single-digit probabilities. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C therefore reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the frontal passage versus post-frontal clearing two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 9?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 9?
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 15%
15°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
32%
17°C
35%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 15%
15°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
11°C or below
$1,000 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$312 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$284 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$288 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$405 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$2,367 ปริมาณ
35%
18°C
$314 ปริมาณ
15%
19°C
$218 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$370 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C or higher
$1,254 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 9 maximum temperature centers on the typical 16–17 °C range for mid-winter, with 16 °C holding the highest implied probability at 35.5 % and 17 °C close behind at 26.5 %.** July marks the coolest month in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the average daily high is approximately 16–17 °C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent westerly winds. A cold front forecast to move south of the country around July 8–9 is introducing cooler maritime air and possible cloud cover or light showers, which would limit daytime heating and favor the lower end of the normal range. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs show highs most often settling between 15–18 °C, with 15 °C carrying an 11 % share. Clearer intervals behind the front could allow brief warming toward 17–18 °C, but strong onshore flow and residual moisture keep higher outcomes (19 °C or above) at low single-digit probabilities. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C therefore reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the frontal passage versus post-frontal clearing two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,015วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 9 maximum temperature centers on the typical 16–17 °C range for mid-winter, with 16 °C holding the highest implied probability at 35.5 % and 17 °C close behind at 26.5 %.** July marks the coolest month in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the average daily high is approximately 16–17 °C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent westerly winds. A cold front forecast to move south of the country around July 8–9 is introducing cooler maritime air and possible cloud cover or light showers, which would limit daytime heating and favor the lower end of the normal range. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs show highs most often settling between 15–18 °C, with 15 °C carrying an 11 % share. Clearer intervals behind the front could allow brief warming toward 17–18 °C, but strong onshore flow and residual moisture keep higher outcomes (19 °C or above) at low single-digit probabilities. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C therefore reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the frontal passage versus post-frontal clearing two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,015วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 9 maximum temperature centers on the typical 16–17 °C range for mid-winter, with 16 °C holding the highest implied probability at 35.5 % and 17 °C close behind at 26.5 %.** July marks the coolest month in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where the average daily high is approximately 16–17 °C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent westerly winds. A cold front forecast to move south of the country around July 8–9 is introducing cooler maritime air and possible cloud cover or light showers, which would limit daytime heating and favor the lower end of the normal range. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs show highs most often settling between 15–18 °C, with 15 °C carrying an 11 % share. Clearer intervals behind the front could allow brief warming toward 17–18 °C, but strong onshore flow and residual moisture keep higher outcomes (19 °C or above) at low single-digit probabilities. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C therefore reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of the frontal passage versus post-frontal clearing two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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