Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on July 9?
21°C 27%
20°C 23%
22°C 20%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
23%
21°C
27%
22°C
20%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 27%
20°C 23%
22°C 20%
19°C 15%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
23%
21°C
27%
22°C
20%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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