**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.** Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 4?
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
20%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
28°C or below
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$336 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$33 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$86 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$101 ปริมาณ
26%
34°C
$142 ปริมาณ
27%
35°C
$76 ปริมาณ
20%
36°C
$48 ปริมาณ
6%
37°C
$109 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C or higher
$271 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.**
Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,339วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.**
Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,339วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.** Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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