**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.** Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 4?
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
31%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
$76 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$88 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$221 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$105 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$26 ปริมาณ
31%
31°C
$80 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$3 ปริมาณ
16%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.**
Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty.
This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$881วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.**
Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty.
This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$881วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.** Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย