Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 ปริมาณ
$56,579 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 ปริมาณ
$56,579 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$1,392 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,809 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$7,291 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$7,435 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$6,287 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$5,808 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$5,427 ปริมาณ
Yes
36°C
$6,129 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$5,974 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$4,312 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$2,716 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,579วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,579วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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