**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 ปริมาณ
$174,412 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 ปริมาณ
$174,412 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$989 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,645 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,302 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$16,575 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$27,850 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$22,810 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$37,556 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$25,631 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$23,729 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$8,566 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,758 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$174,412วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$174,412วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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