Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg September 23 maximum temperatures at 27–31 °C under east-northeast monsoon flow and partly sunny skies with isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–32 °C cluster that dominates market pricing. Easterly winds of force 4 will enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, while variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty between those three outcomes; drier model runs could push peaks toward 32 °C, whereas earlier or heavier convection would cap readings near 30 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent HKO guidance and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
31%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$165 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$95 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$243 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$101 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$12 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$30 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$181 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$106 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg September 23 maximum temperatures at 27–31 °C under east-northeast monsoon flow and partly sunny skies with isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–32 °C cluster that dominates market pricing. Easterly winds of force 4 will enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, while variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty between those three outcomes; drier model runs could push peaks toward 32 °C, whereas earlier or heavier convection would cap readings near 30 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent HKO guidance and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$958วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg September 23 maximum temperatures at 27–31 °C under east-northeast monsoon flow and partly sunny skies with isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–32 °C cluster that dominates market pricing. Easterly winds of force 4 will enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, while variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty between those three outcomes; drier model runs could push peaks toward 32 °C, whereas earlier or heavier convection would cap readings near 30 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent HKO guidance and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$958วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg September 23 maximum temperatures at 27–31 °C under east-northeast monsoon flow and partly sunny skies with isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–32 °C cluster that dominates market pricing. Easterly winds of force 4 will enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, while variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty between those three outcomes; drier model runs could push peaks toward 32 °C, whereas earlier or heavier convection would cap readings near 30 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent HKO guidance and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย