Traders see the 31–33°C outcomes clustered tightly because Hong Kong’s June climatology and the Hong Kong Observatory’s above-normal seasonal outlook place the most probable afternoon maximum in that narrow band. With the target date only 48 hours away, short-range model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that typically limit extreme heating while still allowing urban heat-island amplification to push readings into the low 30s. Recent early-June observations already reached 33–34°C on clear days, supporting the modest edge for 33°C, yet increasing cloud cover and moisture expected on the 22nd introduce enough variability that 31°C and 32°C remain competitive. Official resolution will use the Observatory’s King’s Park or headquarters thermometer, so any deviation in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 22?
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 11.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
28%
33°C
35%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 11.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
26°C or below
$23 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$23 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$2 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$171 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$76 ปริมาณ
28%
33°C
$307 ปริมาณ
35%
34°C
$28 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C
$40 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C or higher
$2 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 31–33°C outcomes clustered tightly because Hong Kong’s June climatology and the Hong Kong Observatory’s above-normal seasonal outlook place the most probable afternoon maximum in that narrow band. With the target date only 48 hours away, short-range model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that typically limit extreme heating while still allowing urban heat-island amplification to push readings into the low 30s. Recent early-June observations already reached 33–34°C on clear days, supporting the modest edge for 33°C, yet increasing cloud cover and moisture expected on the 22nd introduce enough variability that 31°C and 32°C remain competitive. Official resolution will use the Observatory’s King’s Park or headquarters thermometer, so any deviation in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$705วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 31–33°C outcomes clustered tightly because Hong Kong’s June climatology and the Hong Kong Observatory’s above-normal seasonal outlook place the most probable afternoon maximum in that narrow band. With the target date only 48 hours away, short-range model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that typically limit extreme heating while still allowing urban heat-island amplification to push readings into the low 30s. Recent early-June observations already reached 33–34°C on clear days, supporting the modest edge for 33°C, yet increasing cloud cover and moisture expected on the 22nd introduce enough variability that 31°C and 32°C remain competitive. Official resolution will use the Observatory’s King’s Park or headquarters thermometer, so any deviation in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$705วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 31–33°C outcomes clustered tightly because Hong Kong’s June climatology and the Hong Kong Observatory’s above-normal seasonal outlook place the most probable afternoon maximum in that narrow band. With the target date only 48 hours away, short-range model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that typically limit extreme heating while still allowing urban heat-island amplification to push readings into the low 30s. Recent early-June observations already reached 33–34°C on clear days, supporting the modest edge for 33°C, yet increasing cloud cover and moisture expected on the 22nd introduce enough variability that 31°C and 32°C remain competitive. Official resolution will use the Observatory’s King’s Park or headquarters thermometer, so any deviation in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย