Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 3?
96-97°F 38%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 38%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
87°F or below
$437 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$98 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$57 ปริมาณ
18%
96-97°F
$130 ปริมาณ
38%
98-99°F
$221 ปริมาณ
31%
100-101°F
$66 ปริมาณ
11%
102-103°F
$66 ปริมาณ
3%
104-105°F
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
106°F or higher
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,427วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,427วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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