Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 10?
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
ใหม่
$20,927 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,927 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
39%
26°C
46%
27°C
16%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
ใหม่
$20,927 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,927 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
20°C or below
$1,158 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,601 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,349 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,017 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,212 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$3,896 ปริมาณ
39%
26°C
$5,427 ปริมาณ
46%
27°C
$2,400 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$1,520 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$675 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$671 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,927วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,927วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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