Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 4 most likely near 31°C, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 31.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly to southwesterly winds, and lingering moisture from recent light drizzle have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical late-monsoon conditions where highs rarely exceed the 30–32°C range observed in the past week. Official guidance shows minimal model spread and no intensification signals that would push readings to 33°C or above, while historical September averages hover near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 4?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 4?
31°C 50%
32°C 31%
30°C 13%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
50%
32°C
31%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 50%
32°C 31%
30°C 13%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$83 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$11 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$430 ปริมาณ
13%
31°C
$375 ปริมาณ
50%
32°C
$417 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$90 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 4 most likely near 31°C, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 31.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly to southwesterly winds, and lingering moisture from recent light drizzle have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical late-monsoon conditions where highs rarely exceed the 30–32°C range observed in the past week. Official guidance shows minimal model spread and no intensification signals that would push readings to 33°C or above, while historical September averages hover near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,431วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 4 most likely near 31°C, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 31.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly to southwesterly winds, and lingering moisture from recent light drizzle have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical late-monsoon conditions where highs rarely exceed the 30–32°C range observed in the past week. Official guidance shows minimal model spread and no intensification signals that would push readings to 33°C or above, while historical September averages hover near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,431วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 4 most likely near 31°C, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 31.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly to southwesterly winds, and lingering moisture from recent light drizzle have limited daytime heating, aligning with typical late-monsoon conditions where highs rarely exceed the 30–32°C range observed in the past week. Official guidance shows minimal model spread and no intensification signals that would push readings to 33°C or above, while historical September averages hover near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย