**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, together with AEMET’s official forecast, places Madrid’s maximum on 11 July near 37–38 °C.** Clear skies, strong daytime insolation under a persistent subtropical ridge, and light southerly or calm winds are expected to allow efficient boundary-layer heating, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural stations. Ensemble spread remains modest at the 48–72-hour range, supporting the market’s concentration on the 37 °C and 38 °C bins; any late-model shift toward slightly stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover could push probabilities toward 39 °C, whereas an earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased low-level moisture would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and the next AEMET bulletin are the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on July 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 11?
38°C 51%
39°C 28%
37°C 16%
36°C 3.7%
ใหม่
$11,995 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,995 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
16%
38°C
51%
39°C
28%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 51%
39°C 28%
37°C 16%
36°C 3.7%
ใหม่
$11,995 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,995 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
33°C or below
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$381 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$611 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$2,429 ปริมาณ
16%
38°C
$1,123 ปริมาณ
51%
39°C
$2,275 ปริมาณ
28%
40°C
$772 ปริมาณ
3%
41°C
$394 ปริมาณ
1%
42°C
$1,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$1,606 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, together with AEMET’s official forecast, places Madrid’s maximum on 11 July near 37–38 °C.**
Clear skies, strong daytime insolation under a persistent subtropical ridge, and light southerly or calm winds are expected to allow efficient boundary-layer heating, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural stations. Ensemble spread remains modest at the 48–72-hour range, supporting the market’s concentration on the 37 °C and 38 °C bins; any late-model shift toward slightly stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover could push probabilities toward 39 °C, whereas an earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased low-level moisture would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and the next AEMET bulletin are the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,995วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, together with AEMET’s official forecast, places Madrid’s maximum on 11 July near 37–38 °C.**
Clear skies, strong daytime insolation under a persistent subtropical ridge, and light southerly or calm winds are expected to allow efficient boundary-layer heating, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural stations. Ensemble spread remains modest at the 48–72-hour range, supporting the market’s concentration on the 37 °C and 38 °C bins; any late-model shift toward slightly stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover could push probabilities toward 39 °C, whereas an earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased low-level moisture would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and the next AEMET bulletin are the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,995วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, together with AEMET’s official forecast, places Madrid’s maximum on 11 July near 37–38 °C.** Clear skies, strong daytime insolation under a persistent subtropical ridge, and light southerly or calm winds are expected to allow efficient boundary-layer heating, while the city’s urban heat-island effect adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural stations. Ensemble spread remains modest at the 48–72-hour range, supporting the market’s concentration on the 37 °C and 38 °C bins; any late-model shift toward slightly stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover could push probabilities toward 39 °C, whereas an earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased low-level moisture would favor the lower side of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and the next AEMET bulletin are the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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