Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on July 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 24?
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
37%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
25°C or below
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$491 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$321 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$190 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$100 ปริมาณ
17%
31°C
$105 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$337 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$160 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$101 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,515วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,515วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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