**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 17?
23°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$27,203 ปริมาณ
$27,203 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$27,203 ปริมาณ
$27,203 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,113 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,424 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,637 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,067 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$5,511 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,194 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$2,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,429 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,353 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$632 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,203วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,203วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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