Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on July 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 22?
29°C 46%
30°C 32%
28°C 17%
31°C 6.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
17%
29°C
46%
30°C
32%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 32%
28°C 17%
31°C 6.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$260 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$788 ปริมาณ
17%
29°C
$495 ปริมาณ
46%
30°C
$655 ปริมาณ
32%
31°C
$291 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$223 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,415วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,415วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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