Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$92,972 ปริมาณ
$92,972 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$92,972 ปริมาณ
$92,972 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$575 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$31,877 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$7,113 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$12,414 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$15,060 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$10,120 ปริมาณ
Yes
86-87°F
$6,934 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$6,429 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$1,602 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$301 ปริมาณ
No
94°F or higher
$548 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,972วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,972วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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