**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
14°C 43%
13°C 35%
12°C 8%
11°C 5.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
35%
14°C
43%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 43%
13°C 35%
12°C 8%
11°C 5.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
8°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$7 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
13°C
$257 ปริมาณ
35%
14°C
$57 ปริมาณ
43%
15°C
$362 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$23 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$810วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$810วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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