Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, and hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh are the primary forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields to the 5.23–5.27% range in early September 2026. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, while an elevated term premium reflects heavy Treasury supply against a $40 trillion-plus federal debt, reduced Fed balance-sheet support, and competition from corporate AI-related issuance. Resilient nominal growth and firm real yields have further steepened the long end, with upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the mid-September FOMC decision serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied rate paths before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
6.00%
39%
5.80%
50%
5.70%
50%
5.65%
50%
5.60%
50%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
51%
5.45%
63%
5.40%
65%
$0.00 ปริมาณ
6.00%
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
5.80%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
5.70%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
5.65%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
5.60%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
5.55%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
5.50%
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
5.45%
$0 ปริมาณ
63%
5.40%
$0 ปริมาณ
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, and hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh are the primary forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields to the 5.23–5.27% range in early September 2026. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, while an elevated term premium reflects heavy Treasury supply against a $40 trillion-plus federal debt, reduced Fed balance-sheet support, and competition from corporate AI-related issuance. Resilient nominal growth and firm real yields have further steepened the long end, with upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the mid-September FOMC decision serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied rate paths before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, and hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh are the primary forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields to the 5.23–5.27% range in early September 2026. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, while an elevated term premium reflects heavy Treasury supply against a $40 trillion-plus federal debt, reduced Fed balance-sheet support, and competition from corporate AI-related issuance. Resilient nominal growth and firm real yields have further steepened the long end, with upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the mid-September FOMC decision serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied rate paths before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, and hawkish communications from Chair Kevin Warsh are the primary forces lifting 30-year Treasury yields to the 5.23–5.27% range in early September 2026. Markets now price a meaningful chance of a September FOMC rate hike, while an elevated term premium reflects heavy Treasury supply against a $40 trillion-plus federal debt, reduced Fed balance-sheet support, and competition from corporate AI-related issuance. Resilient nominal growth and firm real yields have further steepened the long end, with upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the mid-September FOMC decision serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied rate paths before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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