Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 65.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run. Three units operating autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network and Vulcan controller have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed with zero interventions, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target. Recent 24x manufacturing scale-up to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high reliability. Lingering questions around gripper durability and scheduled battery swaps keep the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution set for May 21.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว200h+ 69%
100-200h 22%
50-100h 11%
$68,774 ปริมาณ
$68,774 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
50-100h
11%
100-200h
22%
200h+
69%
200h+ 69%
100-200h 22%
50-100h 11%
$68,774 ปริมาณ
$68,774 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
50-100h
$3,799 ปริมาณ
11%
100-200h
$2,628 ปริมาณ
22%
200h+
$10,551 ปริมาณ
69%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 65.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run. Three units operating autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network and Vulcan controller have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed with zero interventions, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target. Recent 24x manufacturing scale-up to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high reliability. Lingering questions around gripper durability and scheduled battery swaps keep the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution set for May 21.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,774วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 65.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run. Three units operating autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network and Vulcan controller have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed with zero interventions, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target. Recent 24x manufacturing scale-up to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high reliability. Lingering questions around gripper durability and scheduled battery swaps keep the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution set for May 21.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,774วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Figure AI’s ongoing livestream endurance test of its F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 65.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run. Three units operating autonomously with the Helix-02 neural network and Vulcan controller have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed with zero interventions, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target. Recent 24x manufacturing scale-up to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high reliability. Lingering questions around gripper durability and scheduled battery swaps keep the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution set for May 21.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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