Recent hotter-than-expected April inflation readings, including a 1.4% monthly jump in producer prices and elevated core PCE near 3.2%, combined with geopolitical energy price pressures, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.5%—its highest level since mid-2025. This shift has tempered market-implied expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026, with the policy rate now held steady at 3.50%–3.75% amid a stable labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and resilient nonfarm payrolls. Traders are monitoring upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and FOMC communications for signals on whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will keep long-term yields elevated or allow a modest decline toward historical averages before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$214,585 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
44%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
20%
3.6%
23%
3.5%
40%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,585 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$40,504 ปริมาณ
44%
3.8%
$39,358 ปริมาณ
30%
3.7%
$26,365 ปริมาณ
20%
3.6%
$4,730 ปริมาณ
23%
3.5%
$31,523 ปริมาณ
40%
3.0%
$446 ปริมาณ
13%
2.0%
$341 ปริมาณ
10%
1.0%
$39,559 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April inflation readings, including a 1.4% monthly jump in producer prices and elevated core PCE near 3.2%, combined with geopolitical energy price pressures, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.5%—its highest level since mid-2025. This shift has tempered market-implied expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026, with the policy rate now held steady at 3.50%–3.75% amid a stable labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and resilient nonfarm payrolls. Traders are monitoring upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and FOMC communications for signals on whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will keep long-term yields elevated or allow a modest decline toward historical averages before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,585วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April inflation readings, including a 1.4% monthly jump in producer prices and elevated core PCE near 3.2%, combined with geopolitical energy price pressures, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.5%—its highest level since mid-2025. This shift has tempered market-implied expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026, with the policy rate now held steady at 3.50%–3.75% amid a stable labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and resilient nonfarm payrolls. Traders are monitoring upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and FOMC communications for signals on whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will keep long-term yields elevated or allow a modest decline toward historical averages before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,585วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April inflation readings, including a 1.4% monthly jump in producer prices and elevated core PCE near 3.2%, combined with geopolitical energy price pressures, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.5%—its highest level since mid-2025. This shift has tempered market-implied expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026, with the policy rate now held steady at 3.50%–3.75% amid a stable labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and resilient nonfarm payrolls. Traders are monitoring upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and FOMC communications for signals on whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will keep long-term yields elevated or allow a modest decline toward historical averages before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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