Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$19,215 ปริมาณ
$19,215 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
<1%
$19,215 ปริมาณ
$19,215 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,280 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,935 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,215วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,215วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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