**Recent polls and statements make a joint Otzma Yehudit–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list unlikely.** As of late August 2026, Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly declared that his party will not form a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP, calling the decision “final and complete.” This stance follows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s public appeals for the two far-right parties to reunite ahead of the October 27 election, citing risks of right-wing vote fragmentation. New entrant Ofer Winter’s “People of Israel” party has drawn support from overlapping religious-nationalist voters in recent surveys, pushing RZP projections below the 3.25% electoral threshold when the parties run separately. The parties last appeared together on a technical bloc in 2022 before diverging. Ben-Gvir has framed a merger as costing Otzma Yehudit several seats due to differing voter preferences, while Smotrich has signaled openness to running independently or with other partners. With list submissions due in early September and no agreement reached despite Netanyahu’s mediation efforts, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a renewed alliance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?
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Sep 7, 2026
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Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Recent polls and statements make a joint Otzma Yehudit–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list unlikely.**
As of late August 2026, Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly declared that his party will not form a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP, calling the decision “final and complete.” This stance follows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s public appeals for the two far-right parties to reunite ahead of the October 27 election, citing risks of right-wing vote fragmentation. New entrant Ofer Winter’s “People of Israel” party has drawn support from overlapping religious-nationalist voters in recent surveys, pushing RZP projections below the 3.25% electoral threshold when the parties run separately.
The parties last appeared together on a technical bloc in 2022 before diverging. Ben-Gvir has framed a merger as costing Otzma Yehudit several seats due to differing voter preferences, while Smotrich has signaled openness to running independently or with other partners. With list submissions due in early September and no agreement reached despite Netanyahu’s mediation efforts, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a renewed alliance.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,201วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Recent polls and statements make a joint Otzma Yehudit–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list unlikely.**
As of late August 2026, Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly declared that his party will not form a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP, calling the decision “final and complete.” This stance follows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s public appeals for the two far-right parties to reunite ahead of the October 27 election, citing risks of right-wing vote fragmentation. New entrant Ofer Winter’s “People of Israel” party has drawn support from overlapping religious-nationalist voters in recent surveys, pushing RZP projections below the 3.25% electoral threshold when the parties run separately.
The parties last appeared together on a technical bloc in 2022 before diverging. Ben-Gvir has framed a merger as costing Otzma Yehudit several seats due to differing voter preferences, while Smotrich has signaled openness to running independently or with other partners. With list submissions due in early September and no agreement reached despite Netanyahu’s mediation efforts, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a renewed alliance.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,201วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Recent polls and statements make a joint Otzma Yehudit–Religious Zionist Party (RZP) list unlikely.** As of late August 2026, Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly declared that his party will not form a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s RZP, calling the decision “final and complete.” This stance follows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s public appeals for the two far-right parties to reunite ahead of the October 27 election, citing risks of right-wing vote fragmentation. New entrant Ofer Winter’s “People of Israel” party has drawn support from overlapping religious-nationalist voters in recent surveys, pushing RZP projections below the 3.25% electoral threshold when the parties run separately. The parties last appeared together on a technical bloc in 2022 before diverging. Ben-Gvir has framed a merger as costing Otzma Yehudit several seats due to differing voter preferences, while Smotrich has signaled openness to running independently or with other partners. With list submissions due in early September and no agreement reached despite Netanyahu’s mediation efforts, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a renewed alliance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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