US officials announced the launch of Phase II in mid-January 2026, shifting focus from the initial ceasefire and hostage releases to Hamas demilitarization, a technocratic Palestinian administration in Gaza, reconstruction efforts, and deployment of an international stabilization force. Implementation has since stalled amid persistent disputes, with Hamas refusing to disarm until Israel completes remaining Phase I commitments on withdrawals, aid flows, and border reopenings. Israeli strikes have continued in response to alleged militant activity, while aid deliveries remain below agreed levels. Negotiations involving US envoys, mediators, and the newly formed Board of Peace have produced limited progress through April, leaving core governance and security arrangements unresolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,756,078 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน
13%
$2,756,078 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 17, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US officials announced the launch of Phase II in mid-January 2026, shifting focus from the initial ceasefire and hostage releases to Hamas demilitarization, a technocratic Palestinian administration in Gaza, reconstruction efforts, and deployment of an international stabilization force. Implementation has since stalled amid persistent disputes, with Hamas refusing to disarm until Israel completes remaining Phase I commitments on withdrawals, aid flows, and border reopenings. Israeli strikes have continued in response to alleged militant activity, while aid deliveries remain below agreed levels. Negotiations involving US envoys, mediators, and the newly formed Board of Peace have produced limited progress through April, leaving core governance and security arrangements unresolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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