Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed the IDF to expand the Yellow Line buffer zone deeper into Gaza, reaching over 60 percent territorial control amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, while rejecting U.S.-backed plans that would require Israeli withdrawal before full Hamas disarmament. Recent weeks have featured continued targeted airstrikes on Hamas operatives, documented violations along ceasefire lines, and diplomatic meetings involving U.S. envoy Jared Kushner aimed at advancing a phased demilitarization framework under the Board of Peace. Hamas has signaled conditional willingness to decommission weapons only alongside Israeli pullback, creating deadlock. These dynamics—combined with ongoing attrition operations and stalled Phase Two talks—shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with scheduled diplomatic milestones and any surge in cross-line incidents serving as near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$751,783 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2025
31 ธันวาคม
12%
$751,783 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$102,152 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed the IDF to expand the Yellow Line buffer zone deeper into Gaza, reaching over 60 percent territorial control amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, while rejecting U.S.-backed plans that would require Israeli withdrawal before full Hamas disarmament. Recent weeks have featured continued targeted airstrikes on Hamas operatives, documented violations along ceasefire lines, and diplomatic meetings involving U.S. envoy Jared Kushner aimed at advancing a phased demilitarization framework under the Board of Peace. Hamas has signaled conditional willingness to decommission weapons only alongside Israeli pullback, creating deadlock. These dynamics—combined with ongoing attrition operations and stalled Phase Two talks—shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with scheduled diplomatic milestones and any surge in cross-line incidents serving as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$751,783วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed the IDF to expand the Yellow Line buffer zone deeper into Gaza, reaching over 60 percent territorial control amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, while rejecting U.S.-backed plans that would require Israeli withdrawal before full Hamas disarmament. Recent weeks have featured continued targeted airstrikes on Hamas operatives, documented violations along ceasefire lines, and diplomatic meetings involving U.S. envoy Jared Kushner aimed at advancing a phased demilitarization framework under the Board of Peace. Hamas has signaled conditional willingness to decommission weapons only alongside Israeli pullback, creating deadlock. These dynamics—combined with ongoing attrition operations and stalled Phase Two talks—shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with scheduled diplomatic milestones and any surge in cross-line incidents serving as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$751,783วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed the IDF to expand the Yellow Line buffer zone deeper into Gaza, reaching over 60 percent territorial control amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire, while rejecting U.S.-backed plans that would require Israeli withdrawal before full Hamas disarmament. Recent weeks have featured continued targeted airstrikes on Hamas operatives, documented violations along ceasefire lines, and diplomatic meetings involving U.S. envoy Jared Kushner aimed at advancing a phased demilitarization framework under the Board of Peace. Hamas has signaled conditional willingness to decommission weapons only alongside Israeli pullback, creating deadlock. These dynamics—combined with ongoing attrition operations and stalled Phase Two talks—shape trader assessments of escalation risks, with scheduled diplomatic milestones and any surge in cross-line incidents serving as near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย