The high implied probability against passage reflects the House's recent rejection of amendments to restrict Israel aid, including a July 2026 vote defeating a measure to eliminate $3.3 billion in annual security assistance by 314-104. The chamber instead advanced the National Defense Authorization Act with provisions accelerating U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation. No bills conditioning or limiting military aid have advanced to the floor in the current session, and appropriations measures continue to fund existing commitments under the standing memorandum of understanding. With six weeks remaining before the September 30 deadline and partisan divisions showing insufficient support for restriction among the majority, traders see negligible legislative momentum for such a measure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability against passage reflects the House's recent rejection of amendments to restrict Israel aid, including a July 2026 vote defeating a measure to eliminate $3.3 billion in annual security assistance by 314-104. The chamber instead advanced the National Defense Authorization Act with provisions accelerating U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation. No bills conditioning or limiting military aid have advanced to the floor in the current session, and appropriations measures continue to fund existing commitments under the standing memorandum of understanding. With six weeks remaining before the September 30 deadline and partisan divisions showing insufficient support for restriction among the majority, traders see negligible legislative momentum for such a measure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,957วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability against passage reflects the House's recent rejection of amendments to restrict Israel aid, including a July 2026 vote defeating a measure to eliminate $3.3 billion in annual security assistance by 314-104. The chamber instead advanced the National Defense Authorization Act with provisions accelerating U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation. No bills conditioning or limiting military aid have advanced to the floor in the current session, and appropriations measures continue to fund existing commitments under the standing memorandum of understanding. With six weeks remaining before the September 30 deadline and partisan divisions showing insufficient support for restriction among the majority, traders see negligible legislative momentum for such a measure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,957วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high implied probability against passage reflects the House's recent rejection of amendments to restrict Israel aid, including a July 2026 vote defeating a measure to eliminate $3.3 billion in annual security assistance by 314-104. The chamber instead advanced the National Defense Authorization Act with provisions accelerating U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation. No bills conditioning or limiting military aid have advanced to the floor in the current session, and appropriations measures continue to fund existing commitments under the standing memorandum of understanding. With six weeks remaining before the September 30 deadline and partisan divisions showing insufficient support for restriction among the majority, traders see negligible legislative momentum for such a measure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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