Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean that has delivered double-digit victories in recent cycles. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million as of March, combined with a weak Democratic primary field and the district's historical Republican dominance, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The August 4 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce incumbency advantages in this rural, conservative-leaning area. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected health issue for the incumbent, or emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though structural barriers including voter registration patterns and past margins make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary circumstances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,943 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$1,526 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean that has delivered double-digit victories in recent cycles. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million as of March, combined with a weak Democratic primary field and the district's historical Republican dominance, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The August 4 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce incumbency advantages in this rural, conservative-leaning area. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected health issue for the incumbent, or emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though structural barriers including voter registration patterns and past margins make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,468วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean that has delivered double-digit victories in recent cycles. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million as of March, combined with a weak Democratic primary field and the district's historical Republican dominance, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The August 4 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce incumbency advantages in this rural, conservative-leaning area. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected health issue for the incumbent, or emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though structural barriers including voter registration patterns and past margins make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,468วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+16 partisan lean that has delivered double-digit victories in recent cycles. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.2 million as of March, combined with a weak Democratic primary field and the district's historical Republican dominance, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The August 4 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce incumbency advantages in this rural, conservative-leaning area. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected health issue for the incumbent, or emergence of a high-profile Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though structural barriers including voter registration patterns and past margins make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary circumstances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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