The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th District, following incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid, remains anchored in a Republican-leaning area with an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May primary, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent district polls, including a late-July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie and earlier June results within a few points, have narrowed the gap and boosted Democratic optimism amid lower Trump approval ratings locally and strong favorable numbers for Gov. Andy Beshear. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, however, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals and Alvarado’s fundraising and organizational advantages that sustain trader consensus around a 74.5% Republican probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$33,631 ปริมาณ
$33,631 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
27%
$33,631 ปริมาณ
$33,631 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,395 ปริมาณ
75%
Democratic Party
$19,236 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th District, following incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid, remains anchored in a Republican-leaning area with an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May primary, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent district polls, including a late-July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie and earlier June results within a few points, have narrowed the gap and boosted Democratic optimism amid lower Trump approval ratings locally and strong favorable numbers for Gov. Andy Beshear. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, however, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals and Alvarado’s fundraising and organizational advantages that sustain trader consensus around a 74.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,631วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th District, following incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid, remains anchored in a Republican-leaning area with an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May primary, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent district polls, including a late-July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie and earlier June results within a few points, have narrowed the gap and boosted Democratic optimism amid lower Trump approval ratings locally and strong favorable numbers for Gov. Andy Beshear. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, however, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals and Alvarado’s fundraising and organizational advantages that sustain trader consensus around a 74.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,631วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th District, following incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid, remains anchored in a Republican-leaning area with an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May primary, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent district polls, including a late-July DCCC survey showing a 47-47 tie and earlier June results within a few points, have narrowed the gap and boosted Democratic optimism amid lower Trump approval ratings locally and strong favorable numbers for Gov. Andy Beshear. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, however, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan fundamentals and Alvarado’s fundraising and organizational advantages that sustain trader consensus around a 74.5% Republican probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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