Morgan Stanley holds a 50% implied probability as lead bank in Anthropic’s IPO after a June 3 Bloomberg report disclosed the company’s selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as joint leads, with JPMorgan also participating, ahead of a potential October listing following confidential SEC filing. Trader positioning reflects Morgan Stanley’s historical dominance in large tech offerings and its edge in securing the “lead left” role amid competition with Goldman Sachs, whose 15.5% odds trail despite comparable mandates. Wells Fargo’s 21.9% share and smaller banks’ single-digit probabilities align with limited reported involvement and the concentration of elite mandates among bulge-bracket firms with strong AI-sector relationships. Upcoming milestones, including final bookrunner rankings and S-1 details, remain key variables priced into current sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoldman Sachs 70%
Morgan Stanley 36%
JPMorgan 1.4%
Barclays 1.4%
$44,416 ปริมาณ
$44,416 ปริมาณ
Morgan Stanley
36%
Goldman Sachs
64%
JPMorgan
1%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 70%
Morgan Stanley 36%
JPMorgan 1.4%
Barclays 1.4%
$44,416 ปริมาณ
$44,416 ปริมาณ
Morgan Stanley
36%
Goldman Sachs
64%
JPMorgan
1%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley holds a 50% implied probability as lead bank in Anthropic’s IPO after a June 3 Bloomberg report disclosed the company’s selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as joint leads, with JPMorgan also participating, ahead of a potential October listing following confidential SEC filing. Trader positioning reflects Morgan Stanley’s historical dominance in large tech offerings and its edge in securing the “lead left” role amid competition with Goldman Sachs, whose 15.5% odds trail despite comparable mandates. Wells Fargo’s 21.9% share and smaller banks’ single-digit probabilities align with limited reported involvement and the concentration of elite mandates among bulge-bracket firms with strong AI-sector relationships. Upcoming milestones, including final bookrunner rankings and S-1 details, remain key variables priced into current sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
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