Recent cold air intrusion across Chongqing has driven a sharp temperature drop since September 9–10, ending prolonged heat and establishing cooler, more variable conditions ahead of September 12. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daily low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, reflecting gradual post-frontal warming and limited moisture. Ensemble model spreads remain notable, however, with some runs favoring slightly stronger radiational cooling under clearer breaks while others show modest warming from residual southerly flow. This genuine forecast uncertainty sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50% across the 17–24°C thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover or wind patterns could easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 11 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 12?
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 97%
22°C 40%
19°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
97%
18°C
19%
19°C
26%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
40%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
98%
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 97%
22°C 40%
19°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion across Chongqing has driven a sharp temperature drop since September 9–10, ending prolonged heat and establishing cooler, more variable conditions ahead of September 12. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daily low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, reflecting gradual post-frontal warming and limited moisture. Ensemble model spreads remain notable, however, with some runs favoring slightly stronger radiational cooling under clearer breaks while others show modest warming from residual southerly flow. This genuine forecast uncertainty sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50% across the 17–24°C thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover or wind patterns could easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 11 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion across Chongqing has driven a sharp temperature drop since September 9–10, ending prolonged heat and establishing cooler, more variable conditions ahead of September 12. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daily low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, reflecting gradual post-frontal warming and limited moisture. Ensemble model spreads remain notable, however, with some runs favoring slightly stronger radiational cooling under clearer breaks while others show modest warming from residual southerly flow. This genuine forecast uncertainty sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50% across the 17–24°C thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover or wind patterns could easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 11 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion across Chongqing has driven a sharp temperature drop since September 9–10, ending prolonged heat and establishing cooler, more variable conditions ahead of September 12. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a daily low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, reflecting gradual post-frontal warming and limited moisture. Ensemble model spreads remain notable, however, with some runs favoring slightly stronger radiational cooling under clearer breaks while others show modest warming from residual southerly flow. This genuine forecast uncertainty sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50% across the 17–24°C thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover or wind patterns could easily move the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 11 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย