Recent forecasts from UK meteorological sources point to overnight lows in London on July 17 around 16–18 °C, driven by a lingering warm airmass under high pressure with limited radiative cooling overnight. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment, combined with possible increasing cloud cover or light showers later in the period, are expected to keep minimums from dropping into the mid-teens or lower. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic front or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds (35–37 %) across 14–18 °C outcomes. Historical July averages near 14–15 °C provide context, but current synoptic conditions favor milder nights. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on July 17?
Lowest temperature in London on July 17?
16°C 37%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
17°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 17, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C
37%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 37%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
17°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 17, 2026
11°C or below
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$20 ปริมาณ
35%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
19°C
$22 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from UK meteorological sources point to overnight lows in London on July 17 around 16–18 °C, driven by a lingering warm airmass under high pressure with limited radiative cooling overnight. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment, combined with possible increasing cloud cover or light showers later in the period, are expected to keep minimums from dropping into the mid-teens or lower. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic front or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds (35–37 %) across 14–18 °C outcomes. Historical July averages near 14–15 °C provide context, but current synoptic conditions favor milder nights. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from UK meteorological sources point to overnight lows in London on July 17 around 16–18 °C, driven by a lingering warm airmass under high pressure with limited radiative cooling overnight. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment, combined with possible increasing cloud cover or light showers later in the period, are expected to keep minimums from dropping into the mid-teens or lower. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic front or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds (35–37 %) across 14–18 °C outcomes. Historical July averages near 14–15 °C provide context, but current synoptic conditions favor milder nights. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from UK meteorological sources point to overnight lows in London on July 17 around 16–18 °C, driven by a lingering warm airmass under high pressure with limited radiative cooling overnight. Urban heat island effects from the dense built environment, combined with possible increasing cloud cover or light showers later in the period, are expected to keep minimums from dropping into the mid-teens or lower. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic front or wind shifts, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds (35–37 %) across 14–18 °C outcomes. Historical July averages near 14–15 °C provide context, but current synoptic conditions favor milder nights. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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