Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
80-81°F 64%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
6%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 64%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$50 ปริมาณ
6%
74-75°F
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$30 ปริมาณ
18%
78-79°F
$15 ปริมาณ
28%
80-81°F
$14 ปริมาณ
45%
82-83°F
$15 ปริมาณ
14%
84-85°F
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
86-87°F
$50 ปริมาณ
6%
88°F or higher
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$389วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$389วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย