Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 20-21 as the dominant driver of market odds, with 68-69°F leading at 37% implied probability. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favor moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from lingering summer moisture limit further drops below historical August averages near 67°F. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal boundary timing, which could shift the minimum by 2-4°F and explain the tight clustering across 64-69°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of the daily minimum measurement at Central Park.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
64-65°F 24%
70-71°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
60-61°F
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
64-65°F
$22 ปริมาณ
24%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
70-71°F
$16 ปริมาณ
13%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
74-75°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
76°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 20-21 as the dominant driver of market odds, with 68-69°F leading at 37% implied probability. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favor moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from lingering summer moisture limit further drops below historical August averages near 67°F. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal boundary timing, which could shift the minimum by 2-4°F and explain the tight clustering across 64-69°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of the daily minimum measurement at Central Park.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 20-21 as the dominant driver of market odds, with 68-69°F leading at 37% implied probability. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favor moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from lingering summer moisture limit further drops below historical August averages near 67°F. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal boundary timing, which could shift the minimum by 2-4°F and explain the tight clustering across 64-69°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of the daily minimum measurement at Central Park.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s on August 20-21 as the dominant driver of market odds, with 68-69°F leading at 37% implied probability. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favor moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from lingering summer moisture limit further drops below historical August averages near 67°F. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover and any weak frontal boundary timing, which could shift the minimum by 2-4°F and explain the tight clustering across 64-69°F bins. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of the daily minimum measurement at Central Park.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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