Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 19?
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 23%
68-69°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
3%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 23%
68-69°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
61°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
66-67°F
$18 ปริมาณ
3%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
72-73°F
$6 ปริมาณ
43%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
76-77°F
$62 ปริมาณ
11%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
80°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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