**Latest high-resolution forecast models from major centers project an overnight minimum near 9°C for Paris on September 10 under clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling.** This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, consistent with the current high-pressure regime and typical mid-September climatology for the Île-de-France region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value with limited spread, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly observation from Météo-France stations. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind could prevent full cooling and push the minimum higher, while drier air or clearer conditions than modeled would reinforce the 9°C outcome. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model runs and observational trends into their positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
9°C 99.6%
7°C or below 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
3%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.6%
7°C or below 3%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
$688 ปริมาณ
3%
8°C
$1,360 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$2,413 ปริมาณ
100%
10°C
$1,234 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$731 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$40 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$65 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecast models from major centers project an overnight minimum near 9°C for Paris on September 10 under clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling.** This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, consistent with the current high-pressure regime and typical mid-September climatology for the Île-de-France region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value with limited spread, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly observation from Météo-France stations. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind could prevent full cooling and push the minimum higher, while drier air or clearer conditions than modeled would reinforce the 9°C outcome. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model runs and observational trends into their positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecast models from major centers project an overnight minimum near 9°C for Paris on September 10 under clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling.** This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, consistent with the current high-pressure regime and typical mid-September climatology for the Île-de-France region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value with limited spread, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly observation from Météo-France stations. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind could prevent full cooling and push the minimum higher, while drier air or clearer conditions than modeled would reinforce the 9°C outcome. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model runs and observational trends into their positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution forecast models from major centers project an overnight minimum near 9°C for Paris on September 10 under clear skies, light winds, and strong radiative cooling.** This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, consistent with the current high-pressure regime and typical mid-September climatology for the Île-de-France region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this value with limited spread, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly observation from Météo-France stations. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind could prevent full cooling and push the minimum higher, while drier air or clearer conditions than modeled would reinforce the 9°C outcome. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model runs and observational trends into their positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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