**Forecast consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Met Office, and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum of 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Incheon/Seoul on August 25, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (26°C at 49%, 25°C at 35%).** High humidity (often 80–95% overnight), light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling and holding temperatures above seasonal normals. Typical late-August lows average near 22–23°C, but persistent warm, moist air masses and scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) have kept recent overnight readings elevated. Model guidance shows minimal day-to-day change, with highs near 29–30°C transitioning to lows in the mid-20s Celsius by dawn. The implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering around 25–26°C, with lower odds for 27°C or cooler outcomes (24°C and below) indicating limited expected variability. Traders are monitoring the final KMA and global model runs overnight for any last adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
27°C 16%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
30%
26°C
48%
27°C
16%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
27°C 16%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$213 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$103 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$179 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$148 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$575 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$553 ปริมาณ
48%
27°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$123 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Met Office, and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum of 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Incheon/Seoul on August 25, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (26°C at 49%, 25°C at 35%).**
High humidity (often 80–95% overnight), light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling and holding temperatures above seasonal normals. Typical late-August lows average near 22–23°C, but persistent warm, moist air masses and scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) have kept recent overnight readings elevated. Model guidance shows minimal day-to-day change, with highs near 29–30°C transitioning to lows in the mid-20s Celsius by dawn.
The implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering around 25–26°C, with lower odds for 27°C or cooler outcomes (24°C and below) indicating limited expected variability. Traders are monitoring the final KMA and global model runs overnight for any last adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,224วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Met Office, and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum of 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Incheon/Seoul on August 25, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (26°C at 49%, 25°C at 35%).**
High humidity (often 80–95% overnight), light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling and holding temperatures above seasonal normals. Typical late-August lows average near 22–23°C, but persistent warm, moist air masses and scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) have kept recent overnight readings elevated. Model guidance shows minimal day-to-day change, with highs near 29–30°C transitioning to lows in the mid-20s Celsius by dawn.
The implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering around 25–26°C, with lower odds for 27°C or cooler outcomes (24°C and below) indicating limited expected variability. Traders are monitoring the final KMA and global model runs overnight for any last adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,224วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Met Office, and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum of 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Incheon/Seoul on August 25, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (26°C at 49%, 25°C at 35%).** High humidity (often 80–95% overnight), light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiative cooling and holding temperatures above seasonal normals. Typical late-August lows average near 22–23°C, but persistent warm, moist air masses and scattered showers or thunderstorms (30–50% chance) have kept recent overnight readings elevated. Model guidance shows minimal day-to-day change, with highs near 29–30°C transitioning to lows in the mid-20s Celsius by dawn. The implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering around 25–26°C, with lower odds for 27°C or cooler outcomes (24°C and below) indicating limited expected variability. Traders are monitoring the final KMA and global model runs overnight for any last adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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