Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
21°C or below 97%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
97%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 97%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
27°C
$16 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย