**JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 project a minimum of 24°C under cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, aligning with typical August nighttime lows near 23–24°C amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High.** Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the lowest temperature reflects expectations that persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover will keep overnight readings elevated relative to climatology. Model runs show modest uncertainty in exact minimums, with recent seasonal outlooks reinforcing warmer-than-average conditions through mid-August; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could lower the realized minimum toward the forecast value before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
26°C 53%
25°C 36%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
36%
26°C
53%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 36%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$24 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$49 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$113 ปริมาณ
36%
26°C
$664 ปริมาณ
53%
27°C
$200 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$73 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$700 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 project a minimum of 24°C under cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, aligning with typical August nighttime lows near 23–24°C amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High.** Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the lowest temperature reflects expectations that persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover will keep overnight readings elevated relative to climatology. Model runs show modest uncertainty in exact minimums, with recent seasonal outlooks reinforcing warmer-than-average conditions through mid-August; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could lower the realized minimum toward the forecast value before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 project a minimum of 24°C under cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, aligning with typical August nighttime lows near 23–24°C amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High.** Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the lowest temperature reflects expectations that persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover will keep overnight readings elevated relative to climatology. Model runs show modest uncertainty in exact minimums, with recent seasonal outlooks reinforcing warmer-than-average conditions through mid-August; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could lower the realized minimum toward the forecast value before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 project a minimum of 24°C under cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible, aligning with typical August nighttime lows near 23–24°C amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High.** Trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the lowest temperature reflects expectations that persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover will keep overnight readings elevated relative to climatology. Model runs show modest uncertainty in exact minimums, with recent seasonal outlooks reinforcing warmer-than-average conditions through mid-August; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could lower the realized minimum toward the forecast value before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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