Recent cold air advection from northern China, with northerly winds of 3–6 levels and gusts to 6–7, has driven a sharp cooling trend across the Yangtze River region, lowering Wuhan’s daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s°C. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–20°C for September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with radiative cooling overnight tempered by residual wind mixing. This places the expected low near the historical early-September average while highlighting model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities around 17–20°C alongside elevated odds for extremes, captures this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
24°C or higher 70%
20°C 39%
17°C 32%
15°C 26%
14°C or below
-
15°C
26%
16°C
22%
17°C
32%
18°C
18%
19°C
14%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
13%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
70%
24°C or higher 70%
20°C 39%
17°C 32%
15°C 26%
14°C or below
-
15°C
26%
16°C
22%
17°C
32%
18°C
18%
19°C
14%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
13%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from northern China, with northerly winds of 3–6 levels and gusts to 6–7, has driven a sharp cooling trend across the Yangtze River region, lowering Wuhan’s daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s°C. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–20°C for September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with radiative cooling overnight tempered by residual wind mixing. This places the expected low near the historical early-September average while highlighting model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing that could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities around 17–20°C alongside elevated odds for extremes, captures this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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