Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
$51,906 ปริมาณ
$51,906 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Kathy Hochul
97%
Antonio Delgado
1%
$51,906 ปริมาณ
$51,906 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Kathy Hochul
$40,454 ปริมาณ
97%
Antonio Delgado
$11,452 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,906วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,906วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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