Democratic generic ballot leads of 5–6 points in recent national polls, aligned with typical midterm losses for the president’s party, underpin trader expectations of Republican House seat declines from the current narrow majority near 219. Republicans must defend a map with limited cushion after 2024, while mid-decade redistricting in multiple states has produced mixed but competitive adjustments. Ongoing primaries, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and potential shifts in economic or approval indicators through November keep outcomes fluid. These factors concentrate the highest probabilities on totals below 200 seats, with the closest ranges (190–199) reflecting modest net Democratic gains that could still vary several seats based on turnout and late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 31%
195-199 16%
190-194 12%
215-219 9.5%
$256,606 ปริมาณ
$256,606 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
31%
190-194
12%
195-199
16%
200-204
9%
205-209
8%
210-214
7%
215-219
10%
220-224
8%
225-229
4%
230+
2%
Below 190 31%
195-199 16%
190-194 12%
215-219 9.5%
$256,606 ปริมาณ
$256,606 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$22,003 ปริมาณ
31%
190-194
$10,314 ปริมาณ
12%
195-199
$30,108 ปริมาณ
16%
200-204
$23,246 ปริมาณ
9%
205-209
$37,216 ปริมาณ
8%
210-214
$14,016 ปริมาณ
7%
215-219
$10,840 ปริมาณ
10%
220-224
$55,435 ปริมาณ
8%
225-229
$24,071 ปริมาณ
4%
230+
$29,355 ปริมาณ
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic generic ballot leads of 5–6 points in recent national polls, aligned with typical midterm losses for the president’s party, underpin trader expectations of Republican House seat declines from the current narrow majority near 219. Republicans must defend a map with limited cushion after 2024, while mid-decade redistricting in multiple states has produced mixed but competitive adjustments. Ongoing primaries, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and potential shifts in economic or approval indicators through November keep outcomes fluid. These factors concentrate the highest probabilities on totals below 200 seats, with the closest ranges (190–199) reflecting modest net Democratic gains that could still vary several seats based on turnout and late-cycle developments.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$256,606วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic generic ballot leads of 5–6 points in recent national polls, aligned with typical midterm losses for the president’s party, underpin trader expectations of Republican House seat declines from the current narrow majority near 219. Republicans must defend a map with limited cushion after 2024, while mid-decade redistricting in multiple states has produced mixed but competitive adjustments. Ongoing primaries, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and potential shifts in economic or approval indicators through November keep outcomes fluid. These factors concentrate the highest probabilities on totals below 200 seats, with the closest ranges (190–199) reflecting modest net Democratic gains that could still vary several seats based on turnout and late-cycle developments.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$256,606วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic generic ballot leads of 5–6 points in recent national polls, aligned with typical midterm losses for the president’s party, underpin trader expectations of Republican House seat declines from the current narrow majority near 219. Republicans must defend a map with limited cushion after 2024, while mid-decade redistricting in multiple states has produced mixed but competitive adjustments. Ongoing primaries, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and potential shifts in economic or approval indicators through November keep outcomes fluid. These factors concentrate the highest probabilities on totals below 200 seats, with the closest ranges (190–199) reflecting modest net Democratic gains that could still vary several seats based on turnout and late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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