Trader consensus favors Republicans holding below 190 House seats at 26.5%, reflecting a Democratic generic ballot lead of 6 points in Nate Silver's average and Race to the WH polls, signaling midterm backlash against the Trump administration amid economic headwinds and policy disputes. The GOP's current 217-212 edge, eroded by recent special election losses like Texas' Christian Menefee upset and vacancies from resignations (Gonzales, Swalwell) and deaths (LaMalfa), heightens vulnerability in battleground districts. Recent court rulings enabling GOP gerrymanders in Florida and Tennessee differentiate slimmer Democratic gains (190-204 clusters at 12-37% combined), potentially consolidating there if fundraising edges hold; broader swings hinge on presidential approval, retirements, and primary outcomes through summer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 27%
190-194 13%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.9%
$232,461 ปริมาณ
$232,461 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
27%
190-194
13%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
1%
Below 190 27%
190-194 13%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.9%
$232,461 ปริมาณ
$232,461 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$16,685 ปริมาณ
27%
190-194
$7,870 ปริมาณ
13%
195-199
$28,089 ปริมาณ
12%
200-204
$22,113 ปริมาณ
12%
205-209
$35,373 ปริมาณ
10%
210-214
$12,804 ปริมาณ
9%
215-219
$7,989 ปริมาณ
11%
220-224
$53,712 ปริมาณ
9%
225-229
$21,389 ปริมาณ
3%
230+
$26,436 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans holding below 190 House seats at 26.5%, reflecting a Democratic generic ballot lead of 6 points in Nate Silver's average and Race to the WH polls, signaling midterm backlash against the Trump administration amid economic headwinds and policy disputes. The GOP's current 217-212 edge, eroded by recent special election losses like Texas' Christian Menefee upset and vacancies from resignations (Gonzales, Swalwell) and deaths (LaMalfa), heightens vulnerability in battleground districts. Recent court rulings enabling GOP gerrymanders in Florida and Tennessee differentiate slimmer Democratic gains (190-204 clusters at 12-37% combined), potentially consolidating there if fundraising edges hold; broader swings hinge on presidential approval, retirements, and primary outcomes through summer.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$232,461วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans holding below 190 House seats at 26.5%, reflecting a Democratic generic ballot lead of 6 points in Nate Silver's average and Race to the WH polls, signaling midterm backlash against the Trump administration amid economic headwinds and policy disputes. The GOP's current 217-212 edge, eroded by recent special election losses like Texas' Christian Menefee upset and vacancies from resignations (Gonzales, Swalwell) and deaths (LaMalfa), heightens vulnerability in battleground districts. Recent court rulings enabling GOP gerrymanders in Florida and Tennessee differentiate slimmer Democratic gains (190-204 clusters at 12-37% combined), potentially consolidating there if fundraising edges hold; broader swings hinge on presidential approval, retirements, and primary outcomes through summer.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$232,461วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans holding below 190 House seats at 26.5%, reflecting a Democratic generic ballot lead of 6 points in Nate Silver's average and Race to the WH polls, signaling midterm backlash against the Trump administration amid economic headwinds and policy disputes. The GOP's current 217-212 edge, eroded by recent special election losses like Texas' Christian Menefee upset and vacancies from resignations (Gonzales, Swalwell) and deaths (LaMalfa), heightens vulnerability in battleground districts. Recent court rulings enabling GOP gerrymanders in Florida and Tennessee differentiate slimmer Democratic gains (190-204 clusters at 12-37% combined), potentially consolidating there if fundraising edges hold; broader swings hinge on presidential approval, retirements, and primary outcomes through summer.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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