Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models as the fast, low-cost tier after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape expectations for the next version. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 with extended thinking and computer-use capabilities at roughly one-third the cost of Sonnet 4, quickly becoming the recommended replacement for earlier Haiku variants that were deprecated through April 2026. As of mid-August 2026, Sonnet 5 (June) and Opus 5 (July) have already shipped without a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh, highlighting Anthropic’s selective cadence for lightweight models amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders are monitoring developer conferences, API changelog hints, and competitive benchmarks like SWE-bench for signals on timing, cost targets, or new features such as improved agent orchestration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
6%
October 31
59%
December 31
61%
$6,010 ปริมาณ
August 31
$1,527 ปริมาณ
6%
October 31
$791 ปริมาณ
59%
December 31
$3,692 ปริมาณ
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models as the fast, low-cost tier after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape expectations for the next version. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 with extended thinking and computer-use capabilities at roughly one-third the cost of Sonnet 4, quickly becoming the recommended replacement for earlier Haiku variants that were deprecated through April 2026. As of mid-August 2026, Sonnet 5 (June) and Opus 5 (July) have already shipped without a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh, highlighting Anthropic’s selective cadence for lightweight models amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders are monitoring developer conferences, API changelog hints, and competitive benchmarks like SWE-bench for signals on timing, cost targets, or new features such as improved agent orchestration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,010วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models as the fast, low-cost tier after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape expectations for the next version. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 with extended thinking and computer-use capabilities at roughly one-third the cost of Sonnet 4, quickly becoming the recommended replacement for earlier Haiku variants that were deprecated through April 2026. As of mid-August 2026, Sonnet 5 (June) and Opus 5 (July) have already shipped without a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh, highlighting Anthropic’s selective cadence for lightweight models amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders are monitoring developer conferences, API changelog hints, and competitive benchmarks like SWE-bench for signals on timing, cost targets, or new features such as improved agent orchestration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,010วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models as the fast, low-cost tier after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape expectations for the next version. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 with extended thinking and computer-use capabilities at roughly one-third the cost of Sonnet 4, quickly becoming the recommended replacement for earlier Haiku variants that were deprecated through April 2026. As of mid-August 2026, Sonnet 5 (June) and Opus 5 (July) have already shipped without a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh, highlighting Anthropic’s selective cadence for lightweight models amid competition from OpenAI and Google. Traders are monitoring developer conferences, API changelog hints, and competitive benchmarks like SWE-bench for signals on timing, cost targets, or new features such as improved agent orchestration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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