Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
10%
October 31
55%
December 31
71%
$3,924 ปริมาณ
August 31
$562 ปริมาณ
10%
October 31
$257 ปริมาณ
55%
December 31
$3,105 ปริมาณ
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,924วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,924วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย